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Feb. 20, 2008: update
1990 Recession re-visited: The message from consumers
The ABC-Washington Post Consumers Comfort Index of Feb 17 and released Feb.19, 2008 was unchanged at (-37), the same level as last week. Such a negative reading was last recorded on Oct.14,1990. At that time, it was not yet known that the economy had been in recession since July. Tabulated below are some similarities and differences between now and then:

Recession 1990

Recession 2008

President: G. Bush, Sr

President: G. Bush, Jr

Gulf War I

Gulf War II

Housing Crisis

Housing Crisis

Credit crunch

Credit crunch

Citicorp losses/stock collapse

Citicorp losses/stock collapse

6th year of declining USD

6th year of declining USD

USD bottoms at DX 80

USD bottoms at DX 75 ??

Surging oil prices

Surging oil prices

20 % SP500 market decline
(see Chart below)

20 % SP500 market decline
(see Chart below)

Gold: down trend following early 1990 rally

Gold: still in up trend

ABC-Washington Post Consumer Confort Index 021208
ConsConf-ABC-021208.gif
Release of Feb. 12, 2008
ABC-Washington Post Consumers Comfort Index
SP500-1990vs2008-021408.gif
Data of Feb. 10 released Feb.12, 2008

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