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May 14, 2008
Temporary Oil Tp in the making
 
Under the constraint of our principal technical indicator of overbought condition, a temporary top of the price of Oil is now in the making at around the $125 level anticipated earlier (see: Computer simulation of possible Oil prices ). In the chart below, the price of Oil reached the extreme 80 % above the 48 months moving average which, with few exceptions, signaled price tops in the past.
Oil price at the 80 % limit above the 48 mos mavg
051408-Oil-48wks.gif
Average monthly data as of May 13, 2008

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